2023-24 Kia Season Preview

Complete NBA GM Survey history

Look back at every edition of the annual survey of the league's general managers.

Look back at more than 20 years of responses from NBA general managers after the debut of the 2023-24 edition.


Every NBA GM Survey


History for key questions

NBA Champion

Year Prediction % Actual champion
2002-03 L.A. Lakers 62% San Antonio
2003-04 L.A. Lakers 52% Detroit
2004-05 San Antonio 45% San Antonio
2005-06 San Antonio 77% Miami
2006-07 San Antonio 43% San Antonio
2007-08 San Antonio 37% Boston
2008-09 L.A. Lakers 46% L.A. Lakers
2009-10 L.A. Lakers 61% L.A. Lakers
2010-11 L.A. Lakers 63% Dallas
2011-12 Miami 74% Miami
2012-13 Miami 70% Miami
2013-14 Miami 76% San Antonio
2014-15 San Antonio 46% Golden State
2015-16 Cleveland 54% Cleveland
2016-17 Golden State 69% Golden State
2017-18 Golden State 93% Golden State
2018-19 Golden State 87% Toronto
2019-20 LA Clippers 46% L.A. Lakers
2020-21 L.A. Lakers 81% Milwaukee
2021-22 Brooklyn 72% Golden State
2022-23 Milwaukee 43% Denver
2023-24 Boston/Denver 33%

Most Valuable Player

Year Prediction % Actual MVP
2002-03 Kobe Bryant 31% Tim Duncan
2003-04 Tim Duncan 43% Kevin Garnett
2004-05 Shaquille O’Neal 57% Steve Nash
2005-06 Tim Duncan 58% Steve Nash
2006-07 LeBron James 39% Dirk Nowitzki
2007-08 LeBron James 30% Kobe Bryant
2008-09 LeBron James 56% LeBron James
2009-10 LeBron James 69% LeBron James
2010-11 Kevin Durant 67% Derrick Rose
2011-12 Kevin Durant 56% LeBron James
2012-13 LeBron James 67% LeBron James
2013-14 LeBron James 69% Kevin Durant
2014-15 LeBron James 68% Stephen Curry
2015-16 LeBron James 39% Stephen Curry
2016-17 LeBron James 47% Russell Westbrook
2017-18 LeBron James 50% James Harden
2018-19 LeBron James 30% Giannis Antetokounmpo
2019-20 Giannis Antetokounmpo 52% Giannis Antetokounmpo
2020-21 Giannis Antetokounmpo 32% Nikola Jokic
2021-22 Kevin Durant 37% Nikola Jokic
2022-23 Luka Doncic 48% Joel Embiid
2023-24 Nikola Jokic 43%

Rookie Of The Year

Year Prediction % Actual ROY
2002-03 Yao Ming/Jay Williams 27% Amar’e Stoudemire
2003-04 LeBron James 81% LeBron James
2004-05 Emeka Okafor 43% Emeka Okafor
2005-06 Andrew Bogut 40% Chris Paul
2006-07 Brandon Roy 44% Brandon Roy
2007-08 Kevin Durant 93% Kevin Durant
2008-09 Michael Beasley 48% Derrick Rose
2009-10 Blake Griffin 79% Tyreke Evans
2010-11 John Wall 68% Blake Griffin
2011-12 Kyrie Irving 63% Kyrie Irving
2012-13 Anthony Davis 77% Damian Lillard
2013-14 Victor Oladipo 80% Michael Carter-Williams
2014-15 Jabari Parker 75% Andrew Wiggins
2015-16 Jahlil Okafor 45% Karl-Anthony Towns
2016-17 Kris Dunn 47% Malcolm Brogdon
2017-18 Lonzo Ball 62% Ben Simmons
2018-19 Luka Doncic 43% Luka Doncic
2019-20 Zion Williamson 68% Ja Morant
2020-21 LaMelo Ball 39% LaMelo Ball
2021-22 Jalen Green 47% Scottie Barnes
2022-23 Paolo Banchero 79% Paolo Banchero
2023-24 Victor Wembanyama 50% — 

Best Point Guard

Year Player %
2002-03 Jason Kidd 100%
2003-04 Jason Kidd 95%
2004-05 Jason Kidd 79%
2005-06 Steve Nash 68%
2006-07 Steve Nash 96%
2007-08 Steve Nash 85%
2008-09 Chris Paul 89%
2009-10 Chris Paul 78%
2010-11 Deron Williams 50%
2011-12 Derrick Rose 59%
2012-13 Chris Paul 69%
2013-14 Chris Paul 70%
2014-15 Chris Paul 71%
2015-16 Stephen Curry 55%
2016-17 Stephen Curry 63%
2017-18 Stephen Curry 62%
2018-19 Stephen Curry 57%
2019-20 Stephen Curry 90%
2020-21 Stephen Curry 30%
2021-22 Stephen Curry 57%
2022-23 Stephen Curry 72%
2023-24 Stephen Curry 63%

Best Shooting Guard

Year Player %
2002-03 Kobe Bryant 92%
2003-04 Kobe Bryant 52%
2004-05 Kobe Bryant 100%
2005-06 Kobe Bryant 56%
2006-07 Kobe Bryant 71%
2007-08 Kobe Bryant 93%
2008-09 Kobe Bryant 93%
2009-10 Kobe Bryant 90%
2010-11 Kobe Bryant 86%
2011-12 Kobe Bryant 56%
2012-13 Kobe Bryant 67%
2013-14 James Harden 57%
2014-15 James Harden 63%
2015-16 James Harden 79%
2016-17 James Harden 57%
2017-18 James Harden 83%
2018-19 James Harden 73%
2019-20 James Harden 86%
2020-21 James Harden 68%
2021-22 James Harden 63%
2022-23 Devin Booker 45%
2023-24 Devin Booker 63%

Best Small Forward

Year Player %
2002-03 Tracy McGrady 65%
2003-04 Tracy McGrady 38%
2004-05 Tracy McGrady 52%
2005-06 Tracy McGrady 48%
2006-07 LeBron James 79%
2007-08 LeBron James 74%
2008-09 LeBron James 93%
2009-10 LeBron James 97%
2010-11 LeBron James 68%
2011-12 LeBron James 78%
2012-13 LeBron James 73%
2013-14 LeBron James 87%
2014-15 LeBron James 75%
2015-16 LeBron James 89%
2016-17 LeBron James 77%
2017-18 LeBron James 61%
2018-19 LeBron James 57%
2019-20 Kawhi Leonard 62%
2020-21 LeBron James 57%
2021-22 Kevin Durant 67%
2022-23 Kevin Durant 45%
2023-24 Jayson Tatum 47%

Best Power Forward

Year Player %
2002-03 Tim Duncan 81%
2003-04 Tim Duncan 74%
2004-05 Tim Duncan 67%
2005-06 Tim Duncan 78%
2006-07 Tim Duncan 57%
2007-08 Tim Duncan 48%
2008-09 Tim Duncan 52%
2009-10 Tim Duncan 59%
2010-11 Pau Gasol/Dirk Nowitzki 29%
2011-12 Dirk Nowitzki 41%
2012-13 Kevin Love 30%
2013-14 Tim Duncan 31%
2014-15 LaMarcus Aldridge/Blake Griffin 25%
2015-16 Anthony Davis 82%
2016-17 Anthony Davis 29%
2017-18 Anthony Davis 41%
2018-19 Anthony Davis 37%
2019-20 Giannis Antetokounmpo 59%
2020-21 Giannis Antetokounmpo 46%
2021-22 Giannis Antetokounmpo 63%
2022-23 Giannis Antetokounmpo 86%
2023-24 Giannis Antetokounmpo 97%

Best Center

Year Player %
2002-03 Shaquille O’Neal 100%
2003-04 Shaquille O’Neal 19%
2004-05 Shaquille O’Neal 95%
2005-06 Shaquille O’Neal 84%
2006-07 Shaquille O’Neal 75%
2007-08 Tim Duncan 48%
2008-09 Dwight Howard 56%
2009-10 Dwight Howard 82%
2010-11 Dwight Howard 96%
2011-12 Dwight Howard 96%
2012-13 Dwight Howard 93%
2013-14 Dwight Howard 66%
2014-15 Dwight Howard 43%
2015-16 Marc Gasol 66%
2016-17 DeAndre Jordan 33%
2017-18 Karl-Anthony Towns 28%
2018-19 Anthony Davis 40%
2019-20 Nikola Jokic 48%
2020-21 Nikola Jokic 50%
2021-22 Nikola Jokic 63%
2022-23 Nikola Jokic 79%
2023-24 Nikola Jokic 97%

Player you would choose to start a franchise

Year Player %
2002-03 Shaquille O’Neal 64%
2003-04 Tim Duncan 57%
2004-05 Tim Duncan 48%
2005-06 Tim Duncan 40%
2006-07 LeBron James 71%
2007-08 LeBron James 59%
2008-09 LeBron James 67%
2009-10 LeBron James 79%
2010-11 Kevin Durant 56%
2011-12 Durant/James 37%
2012-13 LeBron James 80%
2013-14 LeBron James 90%
2014-15 LeBron James 50%
2015-16 Anthony Davis 86%
2016-17 Karl-Anthony Towns 48%
2017-18 Karl-Anthony Towns 29%
2018-19 Giannis Antetokounmpo 30%
2019-20 Giannis Antetokounmpo 86%
2020-21 Antetokounmpo/Doncic 43%
2021-22 Luka Doncic 43%
2022-23 Giannis Antetokounmpo 55%
2023-24 Nikola Jokic 33%

Best International Player

Year Player %
2002-03 Dirk Nowitzki 81%
2003-04 Dirk Nowitzki 88%
2004-05 Dirk Nowitzki 62%
2005-06 Dirk Nowitzki 77%
2006-07 Dirk Nowitzki 89%
2007-08 Dirk Nowitzki 74%
2008-09 Dirk Nowitzki 67%
2009-10 Dirk Nowitzki 64%
2010-11 Dirk Nowitzki 57%
2011-12 Dirk Nowitzki 96%
2012-13 Dirk Nowitzki 72%
2013-14 Tony Parker 53%
2014-15 Dirk Nowitzki 54%
2015-16 Marc Gasol 62%
2016-17 Giannis Antetokounmpo 28%
2017-18 Giannis Antetokounmpo 69%
2018-19 Giannis Antetokounmpo 73%
2019-20 Giannis Antetokounmpo 79%
2020-21 Giannis Antetokounmpo 68%
2021-22 Giannis Antetokounmpo 60%
2022-23 Giannis Antetokounmpo 57%
2023-24 Nikola Jokic 80%

Best Defender

Year Player %
2002-03 Gary Payton 46%
2003-04 Ben Wallace 38%
2004-05 Ron Artest 38%
2005-06 Ben Wallace 32%
2006-07 Ben Wallace 32%
2007-08 Bruce Bowen 39%
2008-09 Kevin Garnett 44%
2009-10 Dwight Howard 46%
2010-11 Dwight Howard 78%
2011-12 Dwight Howard 77%
2012-13 Dwight Howard 60%
2013-14 Dwight Howard 35%
2014-15 Joakim Noah 36%
2015-16 Kawhi Leonard 28%
2016-17 Kawhi Leonard 67%
2017-18 Kawhi Leonard 62%
2018-19 Gobert/Leonard 37%
2019-20 Kawhi Leonard 45%
2020-21 Giannis Antetokounmpo 46%
2021-22 Giannis Antetokounmpo 47%
2022-23 Giannis Antetokounmpo 48%
2023-24 Giannis Antetokounmpo 40%

Best Coach

Year Coach %
2002-03 Phil Jackson 39%
2003-04 Larry Brown 43%
2004-05 Larry Brown 38%
2005-06 Larry Brown 33%
2006-07 Pat Riley 44%
2007-08 Gregg Popovich 73%
2008-09 Gregg Popovich 54%
2009-10 Phil Jackson 37%
2010-11 Phil Jackson 39%
2011-12 Gregg Popovich 43%
2012-13 Gregg Popovich 80%
2013-14 Gregg Popovich 76%
2014-15 Gregg Popovich 93%
2013-14 Gregg Popovich 93%
2016-17 Gregg Popovich 83%
2017-18 Gregg Popovich 82%
2018-19 Brad Stevens 47%
2019-20 Gregg Popovich 55%
2020-21 Erik Spoelstra 46%
2021-22 Erik Spoelstra 55%
2022-23 Erik Spoelstra 52%
2023-24 Erik Spoelstra 73%

Most Athletic Player

Year Player %
2002-03 Vince Carter 31%
2003-04 Tracy McGrady 40%
2004-05 LeBron James 33%
2005-06 LeBron James 23%
2006-07 LeBron James 37%
2007-08 LeBron James 46%
2008-09 LeBron James 59%
2009-10 LeBron James 70%
2010-11 LeBron James 50%
2011-12 LeBron James 46%
2012-13 LeBron James 62%
2013-14 LeBron James 57%
2014-15 LeBron James 50%
2015-16 Russell Westbrook 35%
2016-17 Russell Westbrook 62%
2017-18 Russell Westbrook 62%
2018-19 Russell Westbrook 48%
2019-20 Zion Williamson 41%
2020-21
2021-22 Zion Williamson 27%
2022-23 Ja Morant 38%
2023-24 Ja Morant 34%

Best Pure Shooter

Year Player %
2002-03 Ray Allen 35%
2003-04 Ray Allen 33%
2004-05 Peja Stojakovic 48%
2005-06 Ray Allen 58%
2006-07 Ray Allen 74%
2007-08 Ray Allen 60%
2008-09 Ray Allen 61%
2009-10 Ray Allen 57%
2010-11 Ray Allen 54%
2011-12 Ray Allen 86%
2012-13 Ray Allen 57%
2013-14 Stephen Curry 45%
2014-15 Stephen Curry 61%
2015-16 Stephen Curry 79%
2016-17 Stephen Curry 60%
2017-18 Stephen Curry 71%
2018-19 Stephen Curry 73%
2019-20 Stephen Curry 86%
2020-21
2021-22 Stephen Curry 90%
2022-23 Stephen Curry 91%
2023-24 Stephen Curry 90%

Best Passer

Year Player %
2002-03 Jason Kidd 69%
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06 Jason Kidd 52%
2006-07 Steve Nash 82%
2007-08 Steve Nash 77%
2008-09 Steve Nash 44%
2009-10 Steve Nash 59%
2010-11 Steve Nash 75%
2011-12 Chris Paul 41%
2012-13 Steve Nash 59%
2013-14 Chris Paul 47%
2014-15 Chris Paul 64%
2015-16 Chris Paul 71%
2016-17 Chris Paul 62%
2017-18 LeBron James 36%
2018-19 LeBron James 50%
2019-20 LeBron James 59%
2020-21 LeBron James 46%
2021-22 James/Jokic 33%
2022-23 Nikola Jokic 72%
2023-24 Nikola Jokic 67%

Player you want taking a shot with the game on the line

Year Player %
2002-03 Kobe Bryant 42%
2003-04 Kobe Bryant 52%
2004-05 Kobe Bryant 81%
2005-06 Kobe Bryant 62%
2006-07 Kobe Bryant 74%
2007-08 Kobe Bryant 89%
2008-09 Kobe Bryant 89%
2009-10 Kobe Bryant 90%
2010-11 Kobe Bryant 79%
2011-12 Kobe Bryant 48%
2012-13 Kevin Durant 47%
2013-14 Kevin Durant 39%
2014-15 Kevin Durant 77%
2015-16 Stephen Curry 52%
2016-17 Stephen Curry 76%
2017-18 Stephen Curry 55%
2018-19 Kevin Durant 40%
2019-20 Stephen Curry 43%
2020-21 Damian Lillard 32%
2021-22 Kevin Durant 41%
2022-23 Stephen Curry 55%
2023-24 Stephen Curry 37%

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