Coby White has the potential to have a great shooting night from deep. The Pelicans give up the most FDPPG to point guards due to their poor perimeter defense, and Chicago’s guards should capitalize by scoring a ton of points from deep.
See below for a breakdown of value plays for tonight’s slate of games on FanDuel by FantasyPros.
Norman Powell (SF – TOR) vs. DET $6,800
Let’s start things off with a Raptor. Powell will get a boatload of extra minutes in Toronto’s shrunken lineup, and that should help him hit value against this price. Also, he had already hit 5x value in four of his last six games before Toronto’s health woes began. As the sportsbooks suggest, this game should be low-scoring, but Powell should be responsible for a healthy chunk of Toronto’s points.
Montrezl Harrell (C – LAL) at SAC $6,400
I’m conflicted about Harrell. On the one hand, he hardly did anything last night, and the Lakers gave him just 18 minutes. On the other hand, James and Marc Gasol are both out, and Harrell did get the start last night. I’m not sure what Frank Vogel has planned for this evening, but it should involve a healthy dose of Harrell, as the Kings have struggled against opposing centers. They allow the fifth-most FanDuel points per game (FDPPG) to the position.
Robert Covington (PF – POR) vs. GSW $6,200
I’ll follow Harrell with another high-risk, high-reward play. Covington has been incredibly inconsistent — he just dropped 46 FD points (7.4x value against this price) on Monday, but he was averaging just 16.3 FDPPG through the three games prior. That said, he has 40-FD point upside, and he has hit that mark in four of his last seven appearances. Consider taking a shot on him tonight against the Warriors, who give up the sixth-most FDPPG to power forwards.
Coby White (PG – CHI) at NOR $6,000
I absolutely love White on this slate. The Pelicans give up the most FDPPG to point guards due to their poor perimeter defense, and Chicago’s guards should capitalize by scoring a ton of points from deep. The sportsbooks seem to agree, too, as the game is projected for the slate’s highest total.
Dennis Schroder (LAL) $5,500
With James out, Schroder will have to pick up most of the offensive work for Los Angeles. He has been averaging 27.6 FDPPG (5x value) over his last three appearances, and that was with James in the lineup, so look for him to sail far over 5x against the Kings — especially since they allow the sixth-most FDPPG to point guards.
Malik Monk (SF – CHA) at MIN $4,900
Monk is a strong play tonight, especially if Gordon Hayward continues to sit. He has averaged 26.7 FDPPG (5.4x value) over his last two games, both of which Hayward missed. The Timberwolves may be a decent defense against small forwards, but Monk actually spends most of his time at shooting guard, and Minnesota allows the fifth-most FDPPG to that position.
Jarred Vanderbilt (PF – MIN) vs. CHA $4,400
The Hornets give up the most FDPPG to power forwards. Vanderbilt has struggled to hit value consistently in recent games, but this is a fantastic bounce-back spot for the big man, especially if Cody Zeller continues to miss time.
Talen Horton-Tucker (SG – LAL) at SAC $3,900
With Los Angeles’ laundry list of injuries and absences, Horton-Tucker should get plenty of extra playing time tonight against the Kings. The guard has averaged 20.9 FDPPG over his last three games (5.4x value) despite playing less than 20 minutes in each of them, so he should easily hit 5x value here.
Tomas Satoransky (PG – CHI) at NOR $3,700
As I said, I love Chicago’s guards tonight, and Satoransky is no exception. He hasn’t hit 5x value since last Wednesday’s game against the T’Wolves, but matchups with the slow-paced Suns and Nuggets will have that effect. The Pelicans play at a fast pace than both of those teams. Satoransky only needs to score 18.5 FD points to hit 5x value, and rostering him could help you fit in some studs.
Terence Davis (SG – TOR) vs. DET $3,500
We started with a Raptor, and we’ll end with a Raptor. Davis, priced at the absolute minimum, has hit 5x value just four times all season. However, Toronto’s shortened roster ensures that he’ll see the court, as he is one of three healthy guards.
