Nerlens Noel has been extremely consistent of late and has a chance to provide great value tonight vs HOU.
See below for a breakdown of value plays for tonight’s slate of games on FanDuel by FantasyPros.
Damian Lillard (POR): $8,500
This price tag is crazy. We all know Lillard is struggling right now, but he should never sit around $8,000. He’s usually five figures when he’s rolling, and it’ll only take 40 FanDuel points for him to reach value. He’s actually scored at least 33 FD points in 52 of his 58 games this season en route to a 46-point average, showing just how easy it is for Lillard to reach that total.
Kevin Porter (HOU): $7,700
Porter was my top recommendation on Thursday in what’s probably my call of the year, and I’m going to keep going back to the well. He was the go-to guy in Houston with John Wall out of the lineup, scoring 71 FD points in that gem. He only needs half of that to be a good value Sunday, and it looks like he has the keys to the car for the remainder of the season.
Nerlens Noel (NYK) $5,100
Everyone talks about Julius Randle and RJ Barrett in New York, but Noel has quietly been one of their most valuable players. Over his last nine games played, Noel is averaging 32 FD points per game in 29 minutes a night. That’s a stupendous total from someone in this price range, and it should be easy to continue that production with Houston surrendering the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing centers.
P.J. Washington (CHA): $6,800
The Hornets have struggled with their center position all year, but Washington has been brilliant in that role over the last few weeks. In fact, he has scored at least 31 FD points in eight of his last 10 games, averaging nearly 40 fantasy points in those eight outings. Those are astounding averages from such a talented player, and he’s played at least 38 minutes in two of his last three games.
Tyrese Haliburton (SAC): $7,600
With De’Aaron Fox and Harrison Barnes sidelined, this is Haliburton’s offense now. The rookie has at least 40 FanDuel points in three of four games since taking over the starting point guard duties. We can’t overlook that sort of production at this price, especially with Dallas surrendering the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing point guards.
Robert Williams (BOS): $5,400
Williams has been one of the best per-minute producers in the NBA, averaging over 1.3 FD points per minute. That’s big news with his role slowly expanding. His minutes bumped up to 23 when getting the start Friday. That’s really all he needs to succeed, as he’s averaging 35 FanDuel points per game in the 23 outings when he’s played at least 20 minutes. We certainly don’t expect the Trail Blazers to stop him; we’ll discuss their terrible defense later.
Moses Brown (OKC): $5,300
The Thunder are obviously disastrous, but Brown has some serious potential. The youngster is flirting with double-double averages since taking over starting center responsibilities a month ago, averaging 27 FD points per game across his last 21 outings. You can’t ask for any more from such a cheap player, and he could be looking at more minutes and usage here with OKC playing the second half of a back-to-back set.
Bam Adebayo (MIA): $8,300
Big Bam is one of the most reliable players in the game. He’s scored at least 31 FD points in 38 of his last 41 games, with one of those being a game that he left due to injury. He’s also averaging nearly 45 FanDuel points per game in that span, making him one of the best bets for 5X value on this slate. Charlotte is far from scary, too, surrendering the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing centers.
Robert Covington (POR): $4,900
RoCo has struggled the last two weeks, but it’s lowered his price way too far. We’re talking about a defensive stopper who averaged 32 FD points per game across 34 minutes a night in his previous 30 games before this mini eight-game slide. Trust the larger sample size and buy at his lowest.
