Thursday may mark the NBA trade deadline, but there are still four games on tonight’s docket.
Our staff found a way to navigate all of the chaos to come through with three best bets for Thursday night’s slate in the Association.
Whether you’re looking for trade intel just before the deadline passes or just want to bet some games, Action Network has you covered.
NBA Odds & Picks
| Click on a game to skip ahead | |
| Nuggets vs. Magic | 7 p.m. ET |
| Nuggets vs. Magic | 7 p.m. ET |
| Bucks vs. Lakers | 10 p.m. ET |
Nuggets vs. Magic
| Pick | Magic +6.5 |
| Book | BetMGM |
| Tipoff | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBA League Pass |
Andrew O’Connor-Watts: In the midst of the trade deadline whirlwind, there is still some value to be had on the board.
The Magic play the Nuggets in Orlando tonight, and I think they’re being undervalued because of Denver’s elite play at home this season (19-10-1 against the spread).
On the road, the Nuggets haven’t been nearly as dominant (10-15 ATS), while the Magic are in their better home/away split in Orlando (16-11 ATS).
The Magic have also covered the spread in the last four meetings against the Nuggets.
If we dig a little deeper, the reasoning becomes a bit clearer based on the way Orlando matches up with Denver defensively. Denver shoots the highest percentage of its buckets in the paint, ranking fifth in rim rate (37.7%). However, it’s one of the rare elite teams that doesn’t kill you with a barrage of 3s, ranking just 22nd in 3-point rate.
Then you have the Magic, who rank eighth in opponent rim rate (32.2%) but are susceptible to 3-pointers, sitting just 28th in 3-pointers allowed (39.8%).
The Nuggets are also the most efficient transition offense in the league (135.4), but the Magic allow the eighth-lowest offensive rating to opposing teams in transition (124.9).
Jamal Murray is questionable tonight with right knee inflammation and could miss his third straight game. With the trade deadline in full effect, Denver has already acquired Thomas Bryant for Davon Reed and three second-round picks.
Action Network’s PRO feature has tracked sharp money on Orlando, so I don’t imagine this line will get any better. I’ll still confidently take the Magic at +4 or better.
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Nuggets vs. Magic
| Pick | Aaron Gordon Over 2.5 Assists |
| Book | DraftKings |
| Tipoff | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBA League Pass |
Joe Dellera: Aaron Gordon has seen his role shift a bit over the last few weeks, and he’s stepped up a bit as a facilitator as this offense has begun to gel.
Over the last 10 games, Gordon is averaging 4.4 assists per game compared to 2.6 over the entire season, and his potential assists have increased as well. He’s exceeded his 2.5 assists line in eight of his last 10 games.
I like this spot against his former team, the Magic, as well.
He’s exceeded this line in 3-of-3 games against Orlando the last two seasons. His size and versatility are critical against a Magic team with length and versatility.
He should find success dishing and making the right pass tonight.
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Bucks vs. Lakers
| Pick | 1H Under 118 |
| Book | FanDuel |
| Tipoff | 10 p.m. ET |
| TV | TNT |
Malik Smith: After a whirlwind start to the NBA trade deadline, LeBron James breaking the NBA’s scoring record feels like it happened weeks ago.
Betting a team on deadline day that just made a significant trade is not fun, but I think that trade will have a direct impact on this game.
Russell Westbrook, who has been sent to Utah, was the engine for the Lakers off the bench. He was a huge part of the Lakers pushing the pace on offense when he was on the floor, but without him, I think L.A. will play a bit slower, which is what James prefers.
Not to mention, the players the Lakers just traded for likely won’t suit up tonight, so they have one less scorer coming off their bench.
This season, the Lakers and Bucks have both been solid first-half under bets. Since Jan. 1, the first-half under is 13-6 in Lakers games — the best mark in the league over that span.
With one less scorer and James coming off an emotional game Tuesday, I expect the Lakers will play at a much slower pace to try and keep themselves in this game early.
This line opened a 119.5, and I think there’s still value down to 117.