Welcome to Sleeper Picks! Sleeper’s newest offering promised plenty of entertainment and action, and they delivered. We will break down our top three picks for tonight’s NBA action. Similar to fantasy sports, the goal in Sleeper Picks is to draft a team of players based on who you think will perform better than the field. But with Sleeper Picks, you pick teams of 2-8 players from multiple teams based on your preferences and predict whether those players will score more or less than a predetermined amount. There are a number of ways to play and a variety of strategies to employ, and we’ll guide you through the process each week.
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NBA Sleeper Picks Player Predictions (11/20/23)
Season record: 35-19
Jordan Poole (G – WAS): UNDER 15.5 points
Jordan Poole is due for a big game, or at least a more efficient one. Poole is averaging 15.5 points per game on the season but has struggled mightily from the field. His .392 shooting percentage wouldn’t even cut it in the G League, especially given that he’s only draining 1.8 threes per game at a .278 clip. He’d probably be better off abandoning the deep shot as he is shooting .486 on his two point attempts and checks in with a solid enough .455 eFG%. However, Poole is not that rational. He thinks he is a superstar, and until the Wizards coaching staff starts pulling him from games for some of his asinine antics, he will continue to chuck it up at will. The Bucks are a good matchup as they allow 24.12 points per game to the shooting guard position, but Poole is not to be trusted for More plays until he starts to show some consistency. Pop the Less on Poole for Monday night.
Domantas Sabonis (C – SAC): OVER 0.5 double doubles
Sabonis continues to impress for the Sacramento Kings and is well on his way to another All-Star appearance. He is averaging 19.8 points, 12.8 rebounds, 7.3 assists, 1.0 steals, and 1.0 blocks per game on the season. This is a play you are going to see frequently in this column despite the low multiplier, as we are required to make two or more picks per ticket. With Nikola Jokic double double expiring quickly whenever he plays, Sabonis becomes the new go-to double double play. He has recorded a double double in six straight games and in 11 of his 12 games played overall. Tonight, he faces off against a New Orleans Pelicans team that struggles to keep centers off the boards as they allow the fifth most rebounds per game to the position at 16.33. Pair this with your top play of the day, or combine it with Patrick Mahomes 0.5 passing yards as well. Whatever the case, just be sure to put this on at least one of your tickets for Monday night. Slap the More on Sabonis for tonight’s matchup against the Pelicans.
Bam Adebayo (C – MIA): OVER 0.5 double doubles
On a day with a promo line in the NFL which requires at least three plays, two high probability double double plays are just what the doctor ordered. Bam has been spectacular this season, averaging 22.8 points and 10.2 rebounds per game, both career highs. He started the season slow on the boards, with just 18 rebounds in his first three games combined (six per game). Since then, he has hauled in 10 or more rebounds in seven of nine games (11.55 per game), with a streak of 11 or more in five straight. Tonight, he faces off against a Chicago Bulls team he grabbed 10 boards against on Saturday, and that surrenders 14.74 rebounds per game to the position. Bump the More on Bam for Monday night.
Writers note: The lines are constantly changing on Sleeper, so there is a high probability that one or all of the numbers may no longer be the same when you open your app. There are excellent values when they are first posted, with the only catch being that they are not all released at the same time. Vigilance could provide a solid return on investment this season, literally.
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Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyContext.