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NBA Player Prop Bet Odds, Pick & Predictions: Tuesday (11/14)

Phil Wood

November 14, 2023 8:26 PM

20 NBA teams are in action tonight, beginning with three games at 7:00 p.m. ET. Will Bruce Brown continue to find his teammates, and will Nikola Jokic and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continue their streaks of scoring 30 or more in a game?

Here are the three best NBA player props for Tuesday, November 14th.

This Season: 7-8 (-0.30 units)

NBA Player Prop Bet Odds & Picks

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Bruce Brown Over 2.5 Assists (-115)

Brown has recorded at least three assists in four of his last five games. Before that run, he had recorded two or fewer assists in his first five games to open the season. It’s stressful to take Brown’s over because just three games ago, he had zero assists in a game where his team scored 134 points. However, it seems like Brown has discovered his role in this offense, and that role involves him passing a lot more than shooting.

The Pacers are giving up the third-most points per game in the league. Tonight, they face the 76ers, a team that is allowing just 109.4 per contest. Though the 76ers’ defense has been solid, we expect this to be a high-scoring affair just like every other Pacers’ game. That will give Brown opportunities to find his teammates, against the team allowing the 11th-most assists per game this season.

Nikola Jokic Under 31.5 Points (-120)

Jokic has scored 35 or more in three consecutive games. In his last five games, he’s scored at least 33 points four times. Jokic has scored 25 or fewer points just twice all season, so he has a very high floor. However, we think that tonight, he’s going to revert to his season average against the Los Angeles Clippers.

The Clippers are allowing 111.8 points per game, the 12th-best mark in the NBA. Jokic has proven to be matchup-proof over his career, but even if he has a great game, he could end up with 30 points tonight and miss this over. Last season, Jokic didn’t score 30 or more in four consecutive games at all. He could end that streak tonight, but we expect the guards to take over against a team that is solid in the paint but struggles to defend the arc.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points (-105)

Gilgeous-Alexander has scored at least 30 points in seven of his nine games this season. He’s scored at least 33 in three consecutive games, including against the Sacramento Kings last Friday when his team scored just 98.

When a number this high shows up, it’s tempting to take the under, but Gilgeous-Alexander has been the Thunder offense this season. He’s attempted at least 20 shots in all but two games, and he’s played at least 37 minutes in every game this month. The Spurs are allowing the most points per game this season, so we expect another big night from the NBA’s seventh-leading scorer.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Tuesday:

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Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.