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NBA Player Prop Bet Odds, Pick & Predictions: Monday (11/6)

Phil Wood

November 6, 2023 9:07 PM

As the NBA In-Season Tournament marches on, we have 12 games on the schedule tonight. Will Joel Embiid take advantage of a bad Washington Wizards’ defense? Can Trae Young score 25 for the first team this season? And how will LeBron James do as he hits the road to face the Miami Heat?

Here are the three best NBA player props for Monday, November 6th.

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Tuesday’s Best NBA Player Props

This Season: 5-4 (+1.95 units) | Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Joel Embiid Over 45.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-120)

Embiid has scored at least 24 points in every game this season. He has gone over 30 twice, and he has two double-doubles. Tonight, he goes up against the worst scoring defense in the NBA. While some may be concerned that Embiid will play fewer minutes in a blowout, the Wizards have lost their last two games by single digits.

Embiid’s point total is set at 28.5, and while we expect him to go over that, we’d rather get the extra support from his assists and rebounds. He’s averaging 17.2 assists plus rebounds per game, and he’s combined for 20 or more twice. If he gets 17, that’ll likely get him this over. If he hits 20, then he will definitely go over.

Trae Young Over 25 Points (-105)

Young has not scored 25 points in a game this season. However, we like his chances to change that tonight against a team that is allowing 13.5 three-pointers per game.

Three-pointers have been the reason for Young’s struggles this year. He’s shooting just 28.2% from deep, which is way below his career average of 35%. He’s shot at least 32.4% from beyond the arc in every season in the NBA. Tonight is the night he will clean that up, as he faces an opponent allowing shooters to hit 36.2% of three-pointers.

LeBron James Over 22.5 Points (-125)

James scored 21 points in each of his first two games. Since then, he’s scored at least 24 in three of four contests. Two of those 24+ point performances came in overtime contests, but that doesn’t take away from the fact that he’s playing at a high level offensively right now.

James is shooting 56% from the field this year, and he’s managed to get to the free throw line 17 times in his last two games. He’s also playing a solid number of minutes this year; he played just 29 minutes in the first game of the season, but has played at least 33 minutes in every game since.

The Heat are allowing 112 points per game, which is right in the middle of the league. While this doesn’t give a clear advantage to LeBron, he has averaged 28.0 points per game against the Heat in his career.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Monday:

Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.