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2022 NBA Title Odds: Game 5 Win Shifts Series Odds Heavily for Warriors

The Warriors are a slight favorite over the Celtics as they get set for their NBA Finals matchup.

Steven Petrella

May 30, 2022 3:53 AM

Updated NBA Championship Odds

Warriors Odds	-400
Celtics Odds	+310
Odds via BetMGM, updated Monday night. Confused? Learn more about American odds here.

After Game 5

Despite an ugly shooting night from Steph Curry (7-of-22 from field, 0-of-9 from 3), the Warriors won Game 5 over the Celtics, 104-94, at home. It was the Andrew Wiggins show on Monday, as the forward scored 26 points and 13 rebounds to lead the home team.

Meanwhile, the Warriors’ depth shined again. They outscored Boston by 11 bench points thanks to strong efforts from Gary Payton II and Jordan Poole.

Golden State is now heavily favored to win the championship (-400) despite having to travel to Boston for Game 6.

After Game 4

The Warriors needed a win and Stephen Curry delivered. Curry scored 43 points and grabbed 10 rebounds as the Warriors won 107-97 and evened up the series at two games apiece. The Celtics had dominated the fourth quarter throughout this series, but Golden State outscored Boston 28-19 in the final frame of Game 4 and has now won a road game in 27 consecutive playoff series. Klay Thompson contributed 18 points and Andrew Wiggins added 17, but it was clearly Curry carrying the Warriors. Jayson Tatum led the Celtics with 23 points and Jaylen Brown added 21. The Warriors are now -150 to win the series with two of the final three (if necessary) games taking place in San Francisco.

After Game 3

Just as they did in Game 1, the Celtics dominated the fourth quarter en route to victory. Boston got off to a fast start and led by as many as 17 in the first half. However, the Warriors stormed back in the third quarter and took a brief lead, but were unable to hold on. Boston won the fourth quarter, 23-11, and ultimately won Game 3, 116-100. Stephen Curry led the Warriors with 31 points and Klay Thompson dropped 25 as well, but the Splash Brothers were no match for Boston’s trio. Jaylen Brown led the way with 27 points, Jayson Tatum scored 26 and Marcus Smart had 24, too.

After Game 2

Game 2 was essentially a must-win for the Warriors and Golden State responded. The Warriors took a two-point lead into the half and then exploded in the third quarter. Golden State outscored Boston 35-14 in the third and cruised to a 107-88 win in Game 2.

Stephen Curry led the Warriors with 29 points and Jayson Tatum led the Celtics with 28. The Warriors reclaimed their role as the favorites to win the title and the series is now knotted up at one game each as it shifts to Boston for Games 3 and 4.

The Warriors moved back to the favorite in the series, but only slightly. Oddsmakers listed them at -120 before they dropped back to -115. The Celtics were +100 postgame before adjusting to -105 odds to win the series.

After Game 1

Stephen Curry got off to a fast start and scored 21 points, including six 3-pointers, in the first quarter. However, the Celtics came back from multiple double-digit deficits and escaped Chase Center with a 120-108 win in Game 1. Boston, led by Al Horford’s 26 points on 9-of-12 shooting, dominated the fourth quarter. The Celtics outscored the Warriors 40-16 in the final quarter and are now favored to win the series.

The Celtics flipped from +130 underdogs, to -165 favorites after the Game 1 win, while the Warriors went from -160 ahead of the opener to +140 after.

And then there were two.

The Celtics outlasted the Heat to setup an NBA Finals meeting with the Warriors. Game 1 will be Thursday night in San Francisco.

At -165 odds, sportsbooks give the Warriors about a 60% chance to lift the Larry O’Brien Trophy.

Golden State has lost just four totals games in three playoff series. Boston’s been pushed to seven games in their last two series against the Bucks and Heat.

How the Warriors Title Odds Moved This Season

The Warriors opened the season as the fourth betting choice to win the 2022 NBA title. They were behind the Nets, Lakers and Bucks, depending on the sportsbooks.

Books held strong with Brooklyn and L.A. at the top for the most of the season, but Golden State quickly cemented itself as a favorite by the quarter-pole of the season.

The Warriors did jockey with the Suns a bit as title favorites in the second half of the season (at least in the West, Brooklyn remained the favorite until the playoffs). But Phoenix bowed out in the second round to the Mavericks,

Golden State has made the postseason look easy, and took over as the prohibitive title favorite in late April. They didn’t become an odds-on favorite until pushing their lead against the Mavericks to 3-0.

The Warriors missed the playoffs in each of the last two seasons, but made five straight NBA Finals before that. They beat the Cavs three times, lost to the Cavs once, and lost to the Raptors in 2019.

How the Celtics Title Odds Moved This Season

The Celtics didn’t start the season all that well at 17-19. It felt like more of the same — a playoff appearance likely, but not much more than that.

Then they went on a 34-12 run to end the season, with a few marvelous stretches built in.

Boston started the season at around 50-1 to win the NBA title and were as high as 70-1 after that pedestrian start. Then the run began, and the Celtics were around 10-1 as the regular season wound down and they locked up the No. 2 seed. After winning their first-round series against the Nets, the C’s dropped all the way to +350.

This will be Boston’s first NBA Finals appearance since 2010, when it lost to the Lakers in Game 7. They beat L.A. two years prior for their first title since 1986.

NBA Finals Schedule

The NBA Finals schedule was set before the teams were even finalized. The series will begin Thursday, June 2 and run through June 19, should it get to Game 7.

Game 1: Celtics 120, Warriors 108
Game 2: Warriors 107, Celtics 88
Game 3: Celtics 116, Warriors 100
Game 4: Warriors 107, Celtics 97
Game 5: Warriors 104, Celtics 94
Game 6: Thursday, June 16, 9 ET, ABC
Game 7: Sunday, June 19, 8 ET, ABC